Blockworks

Trump Media &amp; Technology Group announced that it will launch Truth Predict, a prediction-market product built into its Truth Social platform.



The prediction market will launch through an integration with Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse.



Truth Predict will allow users to trade event contracts tied to real-world outcomes, including U.S. elections, interest-rate decisions and sports results. The platform’s real-time price updates will reflect shifting market sentiment as events unfold.&nbsp;



A beta version will debut “in the near future” before a national rollout, with global expansion to follow once additional regulatory requirements are met.



Under the arrangement, Truth Social and its sister platforms Truth+ and Truth.Fi will integrate with CDNA’s infrastructure, enabling users to convert in-platform rewards called “Truth gems” into Cronos (CRO) tokens for use in prediction contracts.&nbsp;



The system builds on Trump Media’s existing partnership with Crypto.com to establish Trump Media Group CRO Strategy, Inc., a digital asset treasury vehicle formed through a proposed SPAC merger.



Trump Media CEO Devin Nunes said the integration aims to “democratize information” and “turn free speech into actionable foresight.” Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek called prediction markets a “multi-deca-billion dollar opportunity” and said the collaboration aligns social engagement with transparent market sentiment.



This is a developing story.



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This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor&nbsp;<a href="mailto:jeffrey@blockworks.co" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Michael McSweeney</a>&nbsp;before publication.



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Crypto.com

Trump Media unveils prediction market Truth Predict

David Canellis

This is a segment from the Empire newsletter. To read full editions, <a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire">subscribe</a>.



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Marc Andreessen was right — our timelines really are splitting. 



Andreessen, on the Joe Rogan Experience in late November, theorized that our timeline had already split twice in the previous four months.



If that’s true, our universe has obviously diverged a third time with the launch of Trump’s official cryptocurrency, TRUMP, this past weekend.



The first occurred when Trump was shot last July. “And there was that moment where the world was going to head in two totally different directions [if Trump died],” Andreessen <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ye8MOfxD5nU">said</a>.&nbsp;



Instead, we got the “most conspicuous display of physical bravery” he’s ever seen, referring to the almighty fist pump combined with a call to “fight, fight, fight!” — a killer combo now being used to promote TRUMP.



“Right at that moment it could have gone, you know, horrifically badly for the entire world after that. So that was timeline split number one. That other timeline&#8217;s out there somewhere,” Andreessen said. “And I don’t want to visit it. That’s the bad place.”



Trump’s win on election day in November caused the second rift, per Andreessen, paving the way for TRUMP to permanently split our timeline a third time — for better or worse.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1291" height="832" src="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=1024&amp;h=1024" alt="" class="wp-image-96373" srcset="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=1291 1291w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=300 300w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=1024 1024w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=768 768w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=399 399w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=405 405w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=340 340w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-12.25.05.png?w=80 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1291px) 100vw, 1291px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Melania’s team also appears to have launched a token, which has already flipped AI16Z and WIF.</figcaption></figure>



TRUMP’s <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9vmym2jvy9o">coin</a> is worldwide news. It was deployed on Solana on Friday evening and took only 90 minutes to hit a $1-billion market cap, and barely another day to break $10 billion — making it a top 20 coin alongside toncoin, sui, litecoin and shiba inu.



While only 10% of the total TRUMP supply is currently available to the public, leading to some outcry, it’s hard to say how many people bought TRUMP on its way up.&nbsp;



Onchain <a href="https://dune.com/maditim/solana-dash?token_address_t2eabb=6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN">data</a> points to 110,000 individual addresses acquiring it in its first three hours of DEX trading and over half a million within the first 16 hours.&nbsp;



Currently, there’s over 900,000 addresses holding TRUMP, but it’s unlikely that figure maps to that many actual persons.&nbsp;



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1291" height="830" src="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=1024&amp;h=1024" alt="" class="wp-image-96374" srcset="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=1291 1291w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=300 300w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=1024 1024w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=768 768w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=400 400w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=406 406w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=341 341w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.49.25.png?w=80 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1291px) 100vw, 1291px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Purple lines show where the timelines would’ve split, going by Andreessen’s theory</figcaption></figure>



Still, given volumes ranging in the billions on CEXs — where user holdings aren’t reflected onchain — that there could be a million TRUMP holders isn’t so unrealistic in our brand-new timeline.



This universe is only three days old, so the rules aren’t yet clear. But there’s an obvious trend in the markets: Trump is up, almost everything else is down.



Except for SOL, which hit a new all-time high after gaining over 20% amid the TRUMP pump, perhaps due to buzz about the next US President launching a token on the network.



Since TRUMP was first issued — leading to a monstrous 400x — most major coins have lost value.&nbsp;



BTC also jumped to a new record this morning, reaching as high as $108,786.&nbsp;



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1135" height="650" src="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=1024&amp;h=1024" alt="" class="wp-image-96376" srcset="https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=1135 1135w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=300 300w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=1024 1024w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=768 768w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=428 428w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=456 456w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=382 382w, https://blockworks-co.imgix.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Screenshot-2025-01-20-at-13.58.03.png?w=80 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1135px) 100vw, 1135px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Performance as of 4 am ET.</figcaption></figure>



The only other top-25 tokens (not counting stablecoins) to gain were AAVE and LINK, which were up 6% and 7.5% as of this morning.&nbsp;



Both coins are tied to projects which are <a href="https://blockworks.co/news/0xresearch-newsletter-trump-world-liberty-financial-aave">on track</a> to <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/donald-j-trump-inspired-world-liberty-financial-adopts-the-chainlink-standard-to-accelerate-the-mass-adoption-of-defi-302305219.html">integrate</a> with Trump’s upcoming DeFi platform World Liberty Financial.&nbsp;



Meanwhile, the WLF token sale has hugely benefited. It has raked in an additional $200 million overnight, <a href="https://dune.com/seoul/wlfi">sending</a> total cumulative sales from under $90 million to its targeted $300 million.&nbsp;



It’s not outside the realm of possibility that some of the funds that just flowed into the WLF token sale were generated by trading TRUMP on its way up.



All this makes TRUMP much bigger than a memecoin. It’s a proof-of-concept that has demonstrated to the world what’s possible in this crypto-enabled timeline.&nbsp;



Apparently, that’s creating billions of dollars in onchain capital at the drop of a MAGA hat.



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