Is the AI trade now the only thing standing between the economy and a slowdown?
This week, we unpack why bonds are rallying through scalding inflation data and what that says about the current cycle and inflection point in markets.
We explore the collapse in October hike odds, why AI backstops favor debt over equity, the Russell's brutal losing streak, where to hide from a correlation shock, and whether the top is in for yields. Enjoy!
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Intro
02:06 Why Are Bonds Ignoring Hot Inflation?
07:53 Has The Fed Ruled Out October?
11:56 Ads (Fidelity Crypto)
12:29 Cracks In The AI Growth Engine
16:59 Is A Growth Slowdown Already Coming?
21:11 The Market’s Warning Shot
26:43 Ads (Fidelity Crypto)
27:42 Who Gets Saved In AI Bailouts?
32:14 Where Can Investors Find Shelter?
40:41 Do Rate Hikes Still Work?
44:43 Can Bonds Really Offer Safety?
49:06 Iran Escalation And The Midterms
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RESOURCES
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https://blockworks.com/insights/introducing-agentic-detection-asset-monitoring-built-for-the-ai-era
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EVENTS
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DISCLAIMER
Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.