Stocks stay on recovery path amid tariff risks, disappointing data

The S&P 500 was mostly flat after a month of losses, and the Nasdaq has been slowly gaining

article-image

BEST-BACKGROUNDS/Shutterstock and Adobe modified by Blockworks

share

This is a segment from the Forward Guidance newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe.


US stocks inched into the green before dipping midway through Tuesday’s session, as investors shrugged off additional tariff announcements and disappointing economic news. 

The S&P 500 was mostly flat at 2 pm ET, down 0.05%. The Nasdaq Composite had gained 0.2%. 

The moves follow one of the fastest-ever declines in US equities. Between mid-February and mid-March, the S&P 500 managed to erase two years of gains. The index’s 10% decline from a record high earlier this year is the seventh-fastest drop in history. 

The Nasdaq Composite hasn’t seen a record since December 2024, and is currently down more than 5% year to date. But like the S&P 500, it has slowly been clawing back losses in recent days. 

The moves come as more tariff updates come in from Washington. President Trump yesterday announced new tariffs of 25% on any goods from countries that import Venezuelan oil, both directly and indirectly. 

The levies go into effect on April 2. Trump, however, also added that he “may give a lot of countries a break,” which presumably calmed investors enough to keep this recovery on track. Additional tariffs on cars, pharmaceuticals and other industries are also expected to be announced soon, the White House said. 

US consumer confidence data was also released Tuesday morning. If you are a US consumer, you probably weren’t surprised to see that confidence once again fell. The index is now at a 12-month low. 

The big catalyst for markets (assuming we don’t get any serious news from the White House, which is always a possibility) will come on Friday, when February’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report drops. Analysts are expecting annual inflation to remain unchanged from January at 2.5%. We doubt Jay Powell is getting much sleep this week.


Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters:

Tags

Decoding crypto and the markets. Daily, with Byron Gilliam.

Upcoming Events

Hilton Park Lane

Tues - Wed, November 10 - 11, 2026

DAS London is a two-day summit at the Hilton Park Lane in London featuring conversations between the builders, allocators, and policy makers who are shaping the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the UK, Europe, and North America.

Marina Bay Sands Singapore

Wednesday, October 07, 2026

DAS Asia is a a single-day summit at Marina Bay Sands Singapore featuring conversations between the builders, investors, and global leaders are shaping the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in Asia & North America.

recent research

EthenaNextAct.jpg

Research

The basis trade built Ethena, but it is unlikely to power the next phase of growth on its own. As yields compress and TVL declines, Ethena is evolving from a single strategy product into a diversified yield curator. In this report, I evaluate the protocol's proposed reserve changes, the implications for USDe yields, and why Coinbase may become Ethena's most important growth catalyst.

Newsletter

The Breakdown

Decoding crypto and the markets. Daily, with Byron Gilliam.

Blockworks Research

Unlock crypto's most powerful research platform.

Our research packs a punch and gives you actionable takeaways for each topic.

SubscribeGet in touch

Blockworks Inc.

133 W 19th St., New York, NY 10011

Blockworks Network

NewsPodcastsNewslettersEventsRoundtablesAnalytics